Waalwijk v Den Bosch: the model read
Waalwijk meet Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 15 at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% WAA, 28% draw, 29% DEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Waalwijk, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 60%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 71%, Den Bosch or draw 56%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Den Bosch are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Eindhoven, W 3-1 v Quick Boys, L 0-3 @ Almere City FC, L 2-3 v Almere City FC.
Den Bosch hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Waalwijk 2-3 Den Bosch.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
