Vitesse v De Graafschap: the model read
Vitesse meet De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 14 at GelreDome, Arnhem. The model makes Vitesse the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% VIT, 28% draw, 31% DE .
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Vitesse at 57%; double chance reads Vitesse or draw 69%, De Graafschap or draw 59%.
Vitesse arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Al-Jazira, D 0-0 v AEK Athens FC, W 1-0 v Borussia Dortmund II, D 1-1 v Roda.
De Graafschap are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Vitesse hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 1-4 Vitesse.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
