Waalwijk v MVV: the model read
Waalwijk meet MVV in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 7 at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% WAA, 28% draw, 24% MVV.
Waalwijk rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Waalwijk, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Waalwijk on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 67%; double chance reads Waalwijk or draw 76%, MVV or draw 52%.
Waalwijk arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
MVV are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ EVV, D 0-0 v Racing FC Union Luxembourg, D 0-0 @ Seraing United, W 4-1 @ FC Viktoria Köln.
Waalwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: MVV 1-3 Waalwijk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
