Where the market is wrong on FC Eindhoven v Dordrecht
FC Eindhoven meet Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 6 at Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 35%. Attacking output favors Dordrecht on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
FC Eindhoven arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Dordrecht, D 0-0 @ Jong Utrecht, L 1-3 v Heracles, L 2-5 @ Den Bosch.
Dordrecht are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FC Eindhoven, L 3-6 v Jong AZ, L 1-6 @ FC Volendam, L 0-1 v Roda.
FC Eindhoven hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Eindhoven 2-1 Dordrecht.
The market prices FC at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
