Helmond Sport v De Graafschap: the model read
Helmond Sport meet De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 1 at GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond. The model makes De Graafschap the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 24% HEL, 28% draw, 48% DE .
De Graafschap rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans De Graafschap, 53% against 29%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans De Graafschap at 66%; double chance reads Helmond Sport or draw 52%, De Graafschap or draw 76%.
Helmond Sport arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Taawon, L 0-2 v KVC Westerlo, D 1-1 @ Gemert, L 1-2 v AEK Larnaca.
De Graafschap are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
De Graafschap hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Helmond Sport 0-0 De Graafschap.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
