FC Juarez v U.N.A.M. - Pumas

FC Juarez meet U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX apertura - 3. The model makes U.N.A.M. - Pumas the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% FC , 29% draw, 41% U.N.

The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors U.N.A.M. - Pumas on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 58%; double chance reads FC Juarez or draw 59%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw 70%.

FC Juarez arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guadalajara Chivas, L 0-1 v Puebla, D 1-1 @ Colorado Rapids, W 3-1 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Toluca, L 0-3 v CF Pachuca, L 0-1 v America de Cali, W 3-0 @ Cancún.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-2 FC Juarez.

The market prices FC at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on U.N.A.M. - Pumas: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.