Umm Mughad v Al Fallah: the model read
Umm Mughad meet Al Fallah in the Sudani Premier League championship group - 7. The model makes Umm Mughad the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% UMM, 29% draw, 21% AL .
Umm Mughad rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1400. Recent form leans Umm Mughad, 58% against 29%. Attacking output favors Umm Mughad on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Umm Mughad at 70%; double chance reads Umm Mughad or draw 79%, Al Fallah or draw 50%.
Umm Mughad arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Al Fallah, L 1-3 @ Al Ahli Wad Medani, L 0-2 @ Al Hilal Port Sudan, W 2-1 v Hilal El-Fasher.
Al Fallah are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Umm Mughad, L 1-3 v Hay Al Wadi, L 0-6 @ Al-Merreikh II, L 0-2 @ Al Ahli Wad Medani.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output