Venezia v Napoli: the model read
Venezia meet Napoli in the Serie A regular season - 7 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 68%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Venezia at 54%; double chance reads Venezia or draw 68%, Napoli or draw 62%.
Venezia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ AC Milan, L 0-2 v Lecce, W 3-2 v Modena, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29.
Napoli are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Como, W 2-0 @ Genoa, W 6-2 v Aris Thessalonikis, D 1-1 v Celta Vigo.
Napoli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Venezia 0-0 Napoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
