Once Caldas v Deportes Tolima: the model read
Once Caldas meet Deportes Tolima in the Primera A clausura - 7 at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales. The model makes Once Caldas the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% ONC, 31% draw, 34% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Once Caldas on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Once Caldas at 51%; double chance reads Once Caldas or draw 66%, Deportes Tolima or draw 65%.
Once Caldas arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Envigado, D 2-2 @ Junior, L 0-1 v Junior, W 1-0 v Atletico Nacional.
Deportes Tolima are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 2-1 Once Caldas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
