Orsomarso v Popayan: the model read
Orsomarso meet Popayan in the Primera B clausura - 5 at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja. The model makes Popayan the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% ORS, 33% draw, 36% POP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Popayan on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Popayan at 53%; double chance reads Orsomarso or draw 64%, Popayan or draw 69%.
Orsomarso arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fortaleza FC, D 1-1 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-2 @ Leones FC, D 1-1 v Cucuta.
Popayan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Quindio, W 3-2 @ Bucaramanga, L 1-5 v Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 @ Real Santander.
Popayan hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Popayan 2-2 Orsomarso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
