Where the market is wrong on UTC Cajamarca v Universitario
UTC Cajamarca meet Universitario in the Primera División clausura - 7 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca.
Universitario rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1400. Recent form leans Universitario, 63% against 30%. Attacking output favors Universitario on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
UTC Cajamarca arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Universitario, D 1-1 @ Alianza Atletico, L 1-3 v Comerciantes Unidos, L 0-1 @ Alianza Lima.
Universitario are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ UTC Cajamarca, W 3-0 v Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 3-2 @ FC Cajamarca, D 1-1 v Sporting Cristal.
Universitario hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UTC Cajamarca 2-4 Universitario.
The market prices UTC at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Universitario: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
