Where the market is wrong on Istra 1961 v Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961 meet Dinamo Zagreb in the HNL regular season - 5 at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula.
Dinamo Zagreb rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1722 to 1477. Recent form leans Dinamo Zagreb, 82% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dinamo Zagreb on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.6 per match.
Istra 1961 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Dinamo Zagreb, L 2-3 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v NK Slaven Belupo, D 2-2 @ HNK Hajduk Split.
Dinamo Zagreb are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Istra 1961, L 1-3 @ Viking, W 3-1 v NK Varazdin, D 2-2 v Viking.
Dinamo Zagreb hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb.
The market prices IST at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Istra 1961: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
