Chapecoense-sc v Cruzeiro: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Cruzeiro in the Copa Do Brasil round of 16. The model makes Cruzeiro the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 26% CHA, 30% draw, 44% CRU.
Cruzeiro rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1443. Recent form leans Cruzeiro, 68% against 40%. Attacking output favors Cruzeiro on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Cruzeiro at 63%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 56%, Cruzeiro or draw 74%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Santos, L 0-4 v Flamengo, L 0-2 @ Bahia, W 2-1 @ Gremio.
Cruzeiro are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Botafogo, W 2-1 @ Internacional, L 1-3 @ Gremio, W 2-0 v Defensor Sporting.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
