Palencia CF v Guijuelo: the model read
Palencia CF meet Guijuelo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 final. The model makes Guijuelo the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% PAL, 29% draw, 41% GUI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guijuelo, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Palencia CF on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Guijuelo at 58%; double chance reads Palencia CF or draw 59%, Guijuelo or draw 70%.
Palencia CF arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Guijuelo, L 2-3 v Guijuelo, L 0-1 @ Cristo Atlético, W 2-0 v Cristo Atlético.
Guijuelo are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Tamaraceite, W 2-1 v Tamaraceite, L 1-2 v Palencia CF, W 3-2 @ Palencia CF.
Guijuelo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guijuelo 1-2 Palencia CF.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
