Peña Deportiva defeated Manacor 2-1 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 final, a win built on a devastating early attacking burst that decided the match within 21 minutes. The home side struck twice in quick succession through M. Salinas, establishing a lead that Manacor reduced but could not fully erase despite sustained second-half pressure. The match statistics were not recorded in the available data, which limits a granular breakdown of possession, shots, expected goals or passing accuracy, but the pattern of goals and the clean disciplinary record offer a clear narrative of how the contest was won and lost.
The decisive phase occurred between the 17th and 21st minutes. M. Salinas opened the scoring in normal play, putting Peña Deportiva ahead. Four minutes later, the same player struck again, doubling the home side's advantage with another normal goal. This double strike within five minutes gave Peña Deportiva a commanding interval lead, forcing Manacor to chase the game from an early deficit. The clinical efficiency of the home attack during this spell proved the decisive factor, as they scored twice from what appeared to be a limited number of early opportunities.
Manacor responded quickly after the restart, pulling one back in the 49th minute through F. Exposito, a standard goal that halved the deficit. This early second-half response suggested Manacor had adjusted their approach at halftime and were pressing for a foothold in the match. However, despite the sustained pressure implied by their quick goal, they could not find an equaliser. No further goals were registered, leaving Peña Deportiva to hold on for the final 41 minutes without conceding again. The absence of cards indicates a clean contest with few stoppages for foul play, suggesting the match was decided by technical and tactical differences rather than disciplinary interruptions.
Player ratings were also absent from the data, making it impossible to formally assess individual performances beyond the goal scorers. M. Salinas was clearly the match-winner for Peña Deportiva, scoring both home goals within five minutes to engineer the victory. The double strike within such a narrow timeframe points to individual sharpness in front of goal. F. Exposito was responsible for Manacor's sole response, a consolation goal that at least prevented a shutout defeat but did not alter the final result. The lack of named assistants in either goal means playmaking contributions cannot be attributed, but the scorers themselves bear responsibility for the decisive moments.
The Lemeister model had projected a 41 per cent chance of a Peña Deportiva home win, with Manacor given 30 per cent and a draw rated at 29 per cent. The model exactly predicted the 2-1 scoreline in its projected margins for home and away goals. The result aligned with its favoured outcome, confirming Peña Deportiva as the pre-match favourite and validating the model's assessment of the probabilities, though the match itself offered no statistical data to test deeper predictive accuracy.
The final result secures the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 trophy for Peña Deportiva, completing a successful campaign by overcoming Manacor in a one-off decider. For Manacor, the narrow defeat ends a strong run but leaves them empty-handed, having come close to forcing extra time but ultimately undone by the early double strike. The victory, built on a fast start and the individual contribution of M. Salinas, will be remembered as a clinical, if statistically enigmatic, cup final success that delivered silverware through efficiency rather than dominance.
