Sierra Leone v Equatorial Guinea: the model read
Sierra Leone meet Equatorial Guinea in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sierra Leone, 45% against 36%. Attacking output favors Sierra Leone on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Sierra Leone arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Liberia, W 1-0 v Liberia, D 1-1 @ Azerbaijan, W 2-1 @ Djibouti.
Equatorial Guinea are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Comoros, D 1-1 v Madagascar, W 1-0 @ Kyrgyzstan, L 1-3 v Algeria.
Equatorial Guinea hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Sierra Leone 0-1 Equatorial Guinea.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
