Fylkir v Grotta: the model read
Fylkir meet Grotta in the Cup quarter-finals. The model makes Fylkir the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% FYL, 26% draw, 29% GRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Fylkir, 73% against 61%. Attacking output favors Fylkir on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Fylkir at 61%; double chance reads Fylkir or draw 71%, Grotta or draw 55%.
Fylkir arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IR Reykjavik, D 1-1 v Afturelding, W 4-1 v Njardvik, W 5-2 @ Vestri.
Grotta are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Ægir, L 1-2 v Grindavik, W 1-0 @ Leiknir R., W 2-1 v HK Kopavogur.
Fylkir hold the recent head-to-head, 9 wins to 0 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grotta 2-5 Fylkir.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
