Järfälla v Arlanda: the model read
Järfälla meet Arlanda in the Svenska Cupen semi-finals at Jarfallavallen, undefined. The model makes Arlanda the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 24% JÄR, 27% draw, 49% ARL.
Arlanda rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1443. Recent form leans Arlanda, 71% against 40%. Attacking output favors Arlanda on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Arlanda at 67%; double chance reads Järfälla or draw 51%, Arlanda or draw 76%.
Järfälla arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Umeå FC, L 0-2 v Arlanda, D 1-1 @ Hammarby Talang, L 2-3 v Arlanda.
Arlanda are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Haninge, W 1-0 v IF Karlstad, W 2-0 @ Järfälla, W 1-0 v Stocksund.
Arlanda hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Järfälla 0-2 Arlanda.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
