Touring v Leioa: the model read
Touring meet Leioa in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 semi-finals. The model makes Touring the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% TOU, 30% draw, 34% LEI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Touring on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Touring at 51%; double chance reads Touring or draw 66%, Leioa or draw 64%.
Touring arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Leioa, L 0-1 v Leioa, L 1-2 v San Ignacio, L 1-2 @ Derio.
Leioa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-11 v Athletic Club, L 0-2 @ Albacete II, W 1-0 v Albacete II, W 1-0 v Derio.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
