Torre del Mar v Arenas Armilla: the model read
Torre del Mar meet Arenas Armilla in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 semi-finals. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% TOR, 35% draw, 32% ARE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Arenas Armilla on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Torre del Mar at 50%; double chance reads Torre del Mar or draw 68%, Arenas Armilla or draw 67%.
Torre del Mar arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arenas Armilla, L 0-1 @ Arenas Armilla, L 1-2 v Torreperogil, L 0-1 @ Atlético Porcuna.
Arenas Armilla are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Peña Deportiva, D 1-1 v Peña Deportiva, D 1-1 @ Motril, W 1-0 v Motril.
Torre del Mar hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torre del Mar 0-1 Arenas Armilla.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
