Estradense v Atlético Arteixo: the model read
Estradense meet Atlético Arteixo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 semi-finals. The model makes Atlético Arteixo the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% EST, 30% draw, 38% ATL.
Atlético Arteixo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1569. Recent form leans Atlético Arteixo, 78% against 60%. Attacking output favors Atlético Arteixo on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Arteixo at 54%; double chance reads Estradense or draw 62%, Atlético Arteixo or draw 68%.
Estradense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Atlético Arteixo, L 0-1 v Atlético Arteixo, W 3-1 v Barco, L 1-2 @ Compostela.
Atlético Arteixo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Compostela, W 2-1 v Compostela, D 2-2 v Estradense, W 1-0 @ Estradense.
Atlético Arteixo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atlético Arteixo 2-2 Estradense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
