UD San Fernando v Panadería Pulido: the model read
UD San Fernando meet Panadería Pulido in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 semi-finals. The model makes UD San Fernando the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% UD , 34% draw, 24% PAN.
UD San Fernando rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1546. Recent form leans UD San Fernando, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors UD San Fernando on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans UD San Fernando at 63%; double chance reads UD San Fernando or draw 76%, Panadería Pulido or draw 58%.
UD San Fernando arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Panadería Pulido, W 2-0 @ Panadería Pulido, L 0-1 @ Mensajero, W 5-0 v Tenerife C.
Panadería Pulido are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ UD San Fernando, L 0-2 v UD San Fernando, D 0-0 v Unión Sur Yaiza, D 1-1 @ San Miguel.
UD San Fernando hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UD San Fernando 1-2 Panadería Pulido.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
