Caspe v Cuarte: the model read
Caspe meet Cuarte in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 semi-finals. The model makes Cuarte the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 29% CAS, 33% draw, 38% CUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cuarte, 68% against 55%. Attacking output favors Cuarte on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Cuarte at 57%; double chance reads Caspe or draw 62%, Cuarte or draw 71%.
Caspe arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Cuarte, D 1-1 v Cuarte, W 2-1 @ Utrillas, L 1-2 v CDJ Tamarite.
Cuarte are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Badajoz, L 1-2 @ Badajoz, L 0-1 v Atlético Monzón, W 2-0 @ Atlético Monzón.
Cuarte hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 7 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cuarte 2-1 Caspe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
