Vado v Folgore Caratese: the model read
Vado meet Folgore Caratese in the Serie D - Championship Round championship round - 3. The model makes Vado the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% VAD, 30% draw, 34% FOL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 65%. Attacking output favors Vado on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Vado at 51%; double chance reads Vado or draw 66%, Folgore Caratese or draw 64%.
Vado arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 v Scafatese, W 2-0 v Barletta, L 1-2 @ Barletta, W 3-0 v Folgore Caratese.
Folgore Caratese are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Vado, W 2-0 v Treviso, W 5-1 v Sondrio.
Vado hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vado 3-0 Folgore Caratese.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output