Patriotas v Paranavaí: the model read
Patriotas meet Paranavaí in the Paranaense - 2 semi-finals. The model makes Patriotas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% PAT, 33% draw, 30% PAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Patriotas, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Patriotas on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Patriotas at 55%; double chance reads Patriotas or draw 70%, Paranavaí or draw 63%.
Patriotas arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Paranavaí, W 2-1 @ Paranavaí, W 1-0 v Nacional PR, D 0-0 @ Nacional PR.
Paranavaí are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Parana, D 1-1 v Parana, W 1-0 @ Patriotas, L 1-2 v Patriotas.
Patriotas hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Patriotas 0-1 Paranavaí.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
