Costa Rica U20 v Mexico U20

Costa Rica U20 meet Mexico U20 in the CONCACAF U20 concacaf championship u20 - 2. The model makes Costa Rica U20 the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% COS, 29% draw, 35% MEX.

Mexico U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1466. Recent form leans Mexico U20, 65% against 43%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica U20 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Costa Rica U20 at 51%; double chance reads Costa Rica U20 or draw 65%, Mexico U20 or draw 64%.

Costa Rica U20 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Guatemala U20, L 1-2 @ Colombia U20, L 0-1 @ Colombia U20, L 0-1 @ Mexico U20.

Mexico U20 are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Antigua and Barbuda U20, L 1-3 v Japan U19, W 1-0 v Costa Rica U20, W 1-0 v Costa Rica U20.

Mexico U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mexico U20 1-0 Costa Rica U20.

The market prices COS at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Costa Rica U20: a 25.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.