Alianza Valledupar v Real Santander: the model read
Alianza Valledupar meet Real Santander in the Copa Colombia group stage - 3 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The model makes Alianza Valledupar the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% ALI, 33% draw, 26% REA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alianza Valledupar, 45% against 20%. Attacking output favors Alianza Valledupar on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Alianza Valledupar at 61%; double chance reads Alianza Valledupar or draw 74%, Real Santander or draw 59%.
Alianza Valledupar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 v Real Santander, D 1-1 @ Popayan.
Real Santander are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Deportivo Cali, L 0-3 @ Alianza Valledupar, L 0-3 v Popayan, L 0-5 @ Bucaramanga.
Alianza Valledupar hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza Valledupar 3-0 Real Santander.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
