Monastir v Flaminia: the model read
Monastir meet Flaminia in the Serie D - Girone G semi-finals. The model makes Flaminia the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% MON, 30% draw, 35% FLA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 60%. Attacking output favors Flaminia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Flaminia at 50%; double chance reads Monastir or draw 65%, Flaminia or draw 65%.
Monastir arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Trastevere, D 3-3 v Flaminia, W 2-0 @ USD Palmese, W 1-0 v Nocerina.
Flaminia are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Lazio, D 3-3 @ Monastir, W 4-2 @ Montespaccato, L 0-1 v Budoni.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output