Atmosfera v Panevėžys: the model read
Atmosfera meet Panevėžys in the Cup round of 16. The model makes Atmosfera the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% ATM, 29% draw, 27% PAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atmosfera, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Atmosfera on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Atmosfera at 62%; double chance reads Atmosfera or draw 73%, Panevėžys or draw 56%.
Atmosfera arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Hegelmann II, L 0-1 v Be1 NFA, W 2-1 @ Ekranas, L 0-1 v Minija.
Panevėžys are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FK Tobol Kostanay, L 0-3 @ Kauno Žalgiris, D 1-1 v Hegelmann Litauen, L 1-2 v Suduva Marijampole.
Panevėžys hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atmosfera 0-3 Panevėžys.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
