CEAC / Araruama v Cabofriense: the model read
CEAC / Araruama meet Cabofriense in the Carioca A2 1st phase - 11. The model makes Cabofriense the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 30% CEA, 34% draw, 36% CAB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cabofriense, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Cabofriense on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Cabofriense at 54%; double chance reads CEAC / Araruama or draw 64%, Cabofriense or draw 70%.
CEAC / Araruama arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Boavista SC, L 0-1 v Boavista SC, D 1-1 v São Cristóvão RJ, D 1-1 v Cabofriense.
Cabofriense are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CEAC / Araruama, L 1-2 v Pérolas Negras, D 0-0 v Bonsucesso, L 0-1 @ Olaria.
Cabofriense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CEAC / Araruama 1-1 Cabofriense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output