Where the market is wrong on NJS v ÅIFK
NJS meet ÅIFK in the Kakkonen - Lohko B group b at Klaukkalan urheilualue, undefined. The model makes ÅIFK the most likely outcome at 58%, with the full read 19% NJS, 23% draw, 58% ÅIF.
ÅIFK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1400. Recent form leans ÅIFK, 78% against 13%. Attacking output favors ÅIFK on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans ÅIFK at 76%; double chance reads NJS or draw 42%, ÅIFK or draw 81%.
NJS arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v ÅIFK, L 1-2 @ EPS, L 1-3 v EBK, L 0-2 @ GrIFK.
ÅIFK are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ NJS, W 1-0 @ GrIFK, D 1-1 v Ilves II, W 6-1 @ EBK.
The market prices NJS at 7% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
