Iraq Iraq v Bolivia: the model read
Iraq meet Bolivia in the World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs final at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey. The model makes Iraq the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% IRA, 33% draw, 27% BOL.
Iraq rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Iraq, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Iraq on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Iraq at 59%; double chance reads Iraq or draw 73%, Bolivia or draw 60%.
Iraq arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Senegal, L 0-3 @ France, L 1-4 v Norway, L 0-2 v Venezuela.
Bolivia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Algeria, L 0-4 v Scotland, L 1-2 @ Iraq, W 2-1 v Suriname.
Iraq hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Iraq 2-1 Bolivia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
