Penarol v Liverpool Montevideo: the model read
Penarol meet Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División - Apertura apertura - 11 at Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo. The model makes Penarol the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% PEN, 33% draw, 32% LIV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Penarol on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Penarol at 52%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 68%, Liverpool Montevideo or draw 65%.
Penarol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boston River, D 1-1 @ Racing Montevideo, W 1-0 @ Cerro, L 0-1 v Central Espanol.
Liverpool Montevideo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Cerro, D 0-0 v Cerro Largo, W 1-0 @ Boston River, D 0-0 v Racing Montevideo.
Penarol hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Penarol 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
