Kvant v Metallurg Lipetsk

Kvant meet Metallurg Lipetsk in the Second League - Group 3 group 3 - 16. The model makes Metallurg Lipetsk the most likely outcome at 56%, with the full read 20% KVA, 24% draw, 56% MET.

Metallurg Lipetsk rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1400. Recent form leans Metallurg Lipetsk, 60% against 13%. Attacking output favors Metallurg Lipetsk on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Metallurg Lipetsk at 74%; double chance reads Kvant or draw 44%, Metallurg Lipetsk or draw 80%.

Kvant arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Metallurg Lipetsk, W 3-1 v Arsenal Tula II, L 1-3 @ Strogino, L 1-3 v SKA Khabarovsk II.

Metallurg Lipetsk are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Kvant, W 2-0 @ Orel, W 3-2 v Rodina Moskva III, L 0-1 @ Saturn Ramenskoye.

Metallurg Lipetsk hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kvant 2-2 Metallurg Lipetsk.

The market prices KVA at 10% implied. Our number sits apart on Kvant: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.