Pharco beat Ismaily SC 2-1 at Ismailia Stadium, Ismailia.
How it unfolded: 20' M. Fakhri (PHA), 29' M. Fakhri (PHA), 70' H. Mohamed Sukar (ISM).
The numbers, ISM to PHA: possession 46% to 54%; shots on target 5 to 5; total shots 13 to 8; corners 3 to 0.
Top match ratings: Hatem Mohamed (ISM) at 7.3, Mohamed Fakhry (PHA) at 8.6.
Discipline: 3 yellow cards, 2 red (Moaz Mosaad, Abdel Karim Mostafa).
Changes off the bench: ISM 5, PHA 5.
The model leaned the draw at 40% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 34%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.
Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Ismaily SC 0-0 Pharco; the match finished 1-2.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data