KFUM Oslo v Fredrikstad: the model read
KFUM Oslo meet Fredrikstad in the NM Cupen quarter-finals at KFUM Arena, Oslo. The model makes Fredrikstad the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% KFU, 29% draw, 36% FRE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors KFUM Oslo on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Fredrikstad at 51%; double chance reads KFUM Oslo or draw 64%, Fredrikstad or draw 65%.
KFUM Oslo arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Molde, L 1-2 @ Lillestrom, L 0-2 v Bodo/Glimt, L 0-2 @ Vendsyssel FF.
Fredrikstad are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Rosenborg, L 0-1 @ Bodo/Glimt, L 0-2 v Lillestrom, L 1-3 @ Valerenga.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fredrikstad 3-1 KFUM Oslo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
