SwedenRomania v Sweden: the model read
Romania meet Sweden in the UEFA Nations League 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Romania, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Romania on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Romania arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Wales, D 1-1 @ Georgia, L 0-2 @ Slovakia, L 0-1 @ Türkiye.
Sweden are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.
Sweden hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Romania 0-2 Sweden.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
