NetherlandsGreece v Netherlands: the model read
Greece meet Netherlands in the UEFA Nations League 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Netherlands, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.7 per match.
Greece arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.
Netherlands are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.
Netherlands hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Greece 0-1 Netherlands.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
