BelgiumItaly v Belgium: the model read
Italy meet Belgium in the UEFA Nations League 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 75%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.1 per match.
Italy arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.
Belgium are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.
Italy hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Belgium 0-1 Italy.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
