Campinense v Sousa: the model read
Campinense meet Sousa in the Paraibano semi-finals. The model makes Campinense the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% CAM, 33% draw, 25% SOU.
Campinense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Campinense, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Campinense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Campinense at 62%; double chance reads Campinense or draw 75%, Sousa or draw 58%.
Campinense arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Sousa, W 1-0 @ Sousa, L 0-1 @ EC de Patos, D 1-1 v Sousa.
Sousa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v America-RN, L 0-2 @ Maguary PE, D 0-0 v Central SC, L 0-2 @ ABC.
Sousa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Campinense 0-1 Sousa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
