Piauí v Fluminense PI: the model read
Piauí meet Fluminense PI in the Piauiense semi-finals. The model makes Piauí the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% PIA, 34% draw, 29% FLU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Piauí, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Piauí on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Piauí at 56%; double chance reads Piauí or draw 71%, Fluminense PI or draw 63%.
Piauí arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Maguary PE, L 0-2 @ Maguary PE, W 2-1 v Tirol/CEFAT, W 1-0 @ Uniclinic Atletico Clube.
Fluminense PI are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ America-RN, L 0-3 v America-RN, L 0-1 @ Ferroviario, D 1-1 v Altos.
Piauí hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Piauí 0-1 Fluminense PI.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
