Netherlands W v Poland W: the model read
Netherlands W meet Poland W in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe group stage - 6 at Asito Stadium, Almelo. The model makes Poland W the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% NET, 28% draw, 37% POL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Netherlands W, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Netherlands W on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Poland W at 51%; double chance reads Netherlands W or draw 63%, Poland W or draw 65%.
Netherlands W arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Poland W, L 2-3 @ Republic of Ireland W, D 1-1 @ France W, W 2-1 v France W.
Poland W are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Netherlands W, L 0-2 v France W, L 0-1 @ Republic of Ireland W, L 2-3 v Republic of Ireland W.
Netherlands W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Netherlands W 3-1 Poland W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
