Where the market is wrong on Chengdu Better City v Shanghai Shenhua
Chengdu Better City meet Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League regular season - 24 at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chengdu Better City, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors Chengdu Better City on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Chengdu Better City at 57%; double chance reads Chengdu Better City or draw 69%, Shanghai Shenhua or draw 59%.
Chengdu Better City arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 v Shanghai Shenhua, W 3-2 @ Hangzhou Greentown, L 0-1 @ Yunnan Yukun, D 1-1 v Wuhan Three Towns.
Shanghai Shenhua are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-4 @ Chengdu Better City, L 0-3 v Beijing Guoan, W 4-1 v Henan Jianye, W 1-0 @ Qingdao Jonoon.
Chengdu Better City hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chengdu Better City 4-5 Shanghai Shenhua.
The market prices CHE at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Shanghai Shenhua: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
