Hangzhou Greentown v Dalian Zhixing

Hangzhou Greentown meet Dalian Zhixing in the Super League regular season - 20 at Huanglong Stadium, Hangzhou. The model makes Dalian Zhixing the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% HAN, 29% draw, 38% DAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Dalian Zhixing on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Dalian Zhixing at 54%; double chance reads Hangzhou Greentown or draw 62%, Dalian Zhixing or draw 67%.

Hangzhou Greentown arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Dalian Zhixing, D 1-1 @ Chongqing Tongliang Long, W 3-2 v Qingdao Jonoon, L 2-3 @ Shanghai Shenhua.

Dalian Zhixing are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Hangzhou Greentown, D 1-1 @ Henan Jianye, W 3-1 v Shandong Luneng, W 3-2 v Wuhan Three Towns.

Dalian Zhixing hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hangzhou Greentown 3-2 Dalian Zhixing.

The market prices HAN at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Dalian Zhixing: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.