FK Trakai v Hegelmann Litauen: the model read
FK Trakai meet Hegelmann Litauen in the A Lyga regular season - 18 at LFF stadionas, Vilnius. The model makes Hegelmann Litauen the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 18% FK , 28% draw, 53% HEG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Hegelmann Litauen, 39% against 17%. Attacking output favors Hegelmann Litauen on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Hegelmann Litauen at 74%; double chance reads FK Trakai or draw 47%, Hegelmann Litauen or draw 82%.
FK Trakai arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 0-3 v Suduva Marijampole, L 0-2 @ Šiauliai, L 0-4 v Kauno Žalgiris.
Hegelmann Litauen are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, W 2-0 @ Šiauliai, L 1-5 @ Suduva Marijampole, L 0-3 @ Paide.
Hegelmann Litauen hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 FK Trakai.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
