Where the market is wrong on Tulevik v Legion
Tulevik meet Legion in the Esiliiga B regular season - 27.
Tulevik rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Tulevik, 53% against 13%. Attacking output favors Tulevik on expected goals, 2.2 to 0.9 per match.
Tulevik arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Legion, L 1-2 @ Tallinna Kalev II, D 3-3 v Narva U21, D 2-2 @ Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
Legion are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Tulevik, L 1-5 v Parnu JK Vaprus U21, L 0-1 @ Levadia U19, D 3-3 @ Tallinna Kalev II.
The market prices TUL at 81% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 13.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
