Coritiba v Operario-PR: the model read
Coritiba meet Operario-PR in the Paranaense - 1 semi-finals. The model makes Operario-PR the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% COR, 31% draw, 37% OPE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Operario-PR on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Operario-PR at 53%; double chance reads Coritiba or draw 63%, Operario-PR or draw 68%.
Coritiba arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ RB Bragantino, L 1-3 v Palmeiras, L 0-3 @ Flamengo, W 3-2 v Bahia.
Operario-PR are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Atletico Goianiense, W 3-2 v Ponte Preta, D 2-2 @ Sport Recife, W 2-1 v Novorizontino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
