Londrina and Atletico Paranaense shared four goals and the spoils in a 2-2 draw in the first leg of their Paranaense semi-final. The narrative belongs almost entirely to the first 22 minutes, when three goals arrived, and to the second half, when Londrina’s recovery salvaged parity. The Lemeister model had favoured Atletico Paranaense with a 40 per cent win probability, against 29 per cent for Londrina and 31 per cent for a draw, so the result sits plausibly within that competitive range, though the visitors will feel they surrendered a winning position.
Andre Luiz gave Londrina a seventh-minute lead with a normal goal. The advantage lasted only nine minutes. Atletico Paranaense equalised through Chiqueti in the 16th minute, and the same player struck again six minutes later, in the 22nd, to turn the tie decisively in the visitors’ favour. Chiqueti’s double, both normal goals without an assist recorded, was the defining individual contribution of the opening phase and gave Atletico Paranaense a platform they could not quite protect.
The second half followed a different pattern. Londrina, having conceded twice in a frantic spell, regrouped and gradually asserted themselves. Discipline deteriorated as the game wore on. Yago Lincoln received a yellow card for Londrina in the 55th minute, and Atletico Paranaense’s Diogo Riquelme had already been booked shortly before half-time. Gilberto Junior and F. Aguirre both went into the referee’s book for the visitors in the 62nd and 85th minutes respectively, and Londrina’s substitute Joao Pedro was cautioned deep in stoppage time, in the 93rd minute. The five yellow cards underline a contest that grew increasingly fraught as the home side pressed for an equaliser.
That equaliser arrived in the 73rd minute. Lucas Marques scored a normal goal to make it 2-2, completing Londrina’s second-half fightback. The timing of the goal left Atletico Paranaense with little time to restore their lead, and despite both sides making five substitutions each across the match, neither could find a decisive third goal in the closing stages.
The available data does not include detailed possession, shots or expected goals figures, so analysis rests heavily on goal timings and card distribution. The first 22 minutes suggest Atletico Paranaense were clinical, converting two chances through Chiqueti after falling behind early. The remaining 68 minutes indicate a shift in control, with Londrina managing to contain the visitors and create the opportunity for Lucas Marques. The home side’s ability to avoid conceding after the 22nd minute was as significant as their own goal in the 73rd.
From the limited player-specific data, Chiqueti stands out as the match’s most influential performer, scoring both of his side’s goals. Andre Luiz and Lucas Marques provided Londrina’s goals, while the five players yellow-carded reflect a contest where neither team was willing to take risks in defence. The absence of assists for any of the four goals points to individual finishes rather than structured build-up play.
The draw leaves the tie finely balanced. Atletico Paranaense will value their two away goals but will regret not holding their lead after Chiqueti’s quick double. Londrina will draw confidence from their second-half revival, knowing a low-scoring draw or a win in the second leg would be sufficient to reach the final. The competition context now places maximum importance on the return fixture, where a place in the Paranaense final will be decided. Both sides have shown they can score; the question is which can defend more effectively when it matters most.
