Rangers v Celtic: the model read
Rangers meet Celtic in the FA Cup quarter-finals at Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow. The model makes Rangers the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% RAN, 27% draw, 35% CEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1598 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Celtic, 73% against 64%. Attacking output favors Rangers on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Rangers at 52%; double chance reads Rangers or draw 65%, Celtic or draw 62%.
Rangers arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v West Ham, W 2-1 v Saint Etienne, W 5-2 @ Falkirk, L 1-2 v Hibernian.
Celtic are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v AC Milan, D 1-1 v Middlesbrough, L 1-4 @ Sporting CP, D 1-1 @ Shelbourne.
Rangers hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celtic 3-1 Rangers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
