Gyeongju HNP v Siheung Citizen: the model read
Gyeongju HNP meet Siheung Citizen in the K3 League regular season - 18 at Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju. The model makes Siheung Citizen the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% GYE, 31% draw, 38% SIH.
Siheung Citizen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1477. Recent form leans Siheung Citizen, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors Gyeongju HNP on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Siheung Citizen at 55%; double chance reads Gyeongju HNP or draw 62%, Siheung Citizen or draw 69%.
Gyeongju HNP arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Siheung Citizen, L 0-4 @ Cheongju, W 1-0 @ Daejeon Korail, W 3-0 v Seosan Pioneer.
Siheung Citizen are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Gyeongju HNP, W 1-0 @ Daegu FC, L 0-2 v Busan Transportation, L 0-6 v Vietnam.
Siheung Citizen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Siheung Citizen.
The market prices GYE at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
